What will happen to Silver Prices by the end of 2018? (Part 1)

Welcome to illuminati silver, we tell you
the truth about silver. Today is Saturday 4th August 2018 and this
is the first part of 2 videos where we highlight what we believe will be the influences on
the Silver price for the remainder of 2018 and where we predict prices will end up at
the end of the year. At the time of publishing, silver prices currently
stand at $15.42 some 8% or $1.34 down on exactly a year ago and down some 9.5% or $1.64 since
the start of 2018. So without doubt 2018 has so far proven to be a lacklustre year.
In 2018, prices have oscillated between about $15.20 and $17.55 per ounce. Experts are not
necessarily surprised, but of course many are hoping for a better performance before
the year ends. There are a number of factors which could
affect the price from hereon and we have consolidated them into 5 major influences. They are as
follows: 1. Geopolitical issues
Like gold, silver prices often increase when geopolitical issues are at play. When Donald
Trump won the US Presidential election in late 2016, many believed safe-haven demand
for precious metals would spur higher silver and gold prices, especially as Trump was seen
as a most controversial and unpredictable figure. However, that instability hasn’t
yet translated into higher silver prices. However, Trump continues to cause concern,
having formerly been described as “flirting” with war with North Korea and Iran, and now
clashing with China and Russia (the latter by his administration if not directly by the
President himself). The President is locked in a trade war with the Asian nations, with
both the US and China imposing tariffs on each other. He has also threatened tariffs
with our European Partners, though recently this may have been resolved and we must not
forget the ongoing battle with Canada. So far however what we have witnessed has
run contrary to conventional wisdom that political unrest favours safe-haven assets. Investors
will have to see if this trend changes as these and other geopolitical issues continue
to develop. 2. Interest rates
In general, higher interest rates tend to put pressure on non-interest-bearing assets
like gold and silver; conversely, when interest rates are lower, precious metals tend to perform
better. However, last year there were three rate hikes, and gold prices rose instead of
falling, while silver was relatively flat. The US Federal Reserve has raised rates on
the back of an economy that has been growing at a steady pace but it could slow the pace
of rate increases if there is a change. Currently there is no consensus on how many hikes there
will be in 2018, although the Central Bank is expected to keep raising rates. The rate
hike in June was the 7th in the past 3 years despite the comments of Investor Guru Peter
Schiff stating at the time and we quote “There is no way the FED can raise rates”.
We believe that at least another rate rise is on the cards and possibly 2 before 2018
is out. Despite this, it’s worth noting that precious
metal prices could rise even if rates continue to increase. According to Investopedia, despite
the widely held belief that there is a negative correlation between rates and precious metals
prices, “a long-term review of the respective paths and trends of interest rates and gold
prices reveals that no such relationship actually exists.” However please notice that it mentions
‘long term review’. 3. Price manipulation
Some silver market watchers and a number of our subscribers believe that the reason prices
have seen little momentum in recent years is that a small group of institutions have
been shorting silver. Ed Steer of Gold and Silver Digest and the Gold Anti-Trust Action
Committee has explained the idea in the past, noting that JPMorgan and a handful of others
are involved. In early November 2010, US law firm Kaplan
Fox & Kilsheimer filed a class action complaint on behalf of an individual investor, Eric
Nalven. The suit named JP Morgan and HSBC in connection
with an alleged conspiracy and manipulation of the market for silver futures and options
contracts traded on the Comex exchange in New York.
The complaint alleges that around June 2008, when JP Morgan acquired Bear Stearns and its
short positions in silver futures, JP Morgan and HSBC started a conspiracy to manipulate
the market for silver futures and options contracts for their own benefit.
Despite this, charges against the firm were dismissed in 2014 and again in 2016, although
the 2016 charges have since been appealed. Our own view is that there is price manipulation.
Not particularly by the FED or the US Government as some believe, but by greedy institutions
attempting to make a ‘quick buck’. Now we know some disagree with this, but to be
frank, our next point will highlight why we believe this. After all such manipulations
can only be achieved short term and it is extremely difficult to believe that they can
achieve price suppression for the past 7 years. After all, it took no time at all to identify
those institutions including Deutsche Bank who were guilty of manipulating LIBOR Rates
– did it? 4. Traditional Supply and Demand.
Perhaps the most reliable document we can go to, though it is historic in nature is
the Silver Institute’s World Silver Survey which is produced for the Silver Institute
by the GFMS team at Thomson Reuters. Now before anyone dismisses this Survey, the
major sponsors include and we wish you take note of these:
• Coeur Mining Inc (a precious metals producer with 5 mines in North America employing 2,000
people) • Fresnillo Plc (the world’s largest silver
producer and Mexico’s second largest gold producer
• Industrias Penoles S.A.B de C.V which is the world’s top producer of refined silver
and the leading Latin American producer of refined gold and lead.
• Pan American Silver, the world’s second largest primary silver producer;
• Wheaton Precious Metals the world’s largest pure silver and gold streaming company
• and a host of other numerous gold and silver and precious metal mining companies.
Now we mention these because it is in these companies best interests to obtain and promote
as bullish a report as is possible and yet despite this, the Annual report portrays sobering
reading. The 2018 report published just over three
months ago and which we produced a video on 5th May (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5nWrnq6q0&t=6s)
highlighted the following points: • 2017 saw the 5th recorded silver market
deficit in a row. A deficit of some 26 million ounces was recorded with mine supply falling
by 4%. To put this mine supply fall in context though, it follows 13 consecutive years of
annual increases – up to 2016. • Physical demand contracted by 2% in 2017
due to a fall of some 27% in coin and bar demand – a fall of some 27% in coin and
bar demand – falling from 207.8 million ounces to 151.1 million ounces. This is now the second
consecutive annual decline in coin and bar demand falling from 292.1 million ounces in
2015 to 151.1 million ounces in 2017. • On a positive note, jewellery demand rose
by 2%, silverware by 12% and industrial fabrication by 4%. In fact, the interesting factor here
is the ever-increasing use of silver for industrial purposes. In 2017 demand for Industrial fabrication
represented some 70% of mine supply and 60% of total silver supply. This compares with
2016 of 65% and 56% respectively. So 70% in 2017 vs 655 in 2016 of mine supply and 60%
in 2017 compared with 56% in 2016 of total supply. One of the main reasons for this is
that photovoltaic demand rose by 19% driven particularly by solar panel usage, mainly
by Chinese households. • So Mine supply is down 4%, with total
supply down 3.7%, coin and bar demand is down 27% with total physical demand down by 2.3%
resulting in a physical deficit of 26 million ounces, and once factoring in ETP and Exchange
Inventory build, a total deficit of 35.2 million ounces. There are a lot of figures there but
basically what it is highlighting is that demand is down although supply is also down.
• The average price of silver fell from $17.14 in 2016 to $17.05 in 2017.
So we should not be surprised to have seen little change in the average silver price.
Now for years people have been screaming manipulation, and whilst we have some sympathy here, as
mentioned earlier, basic economics tells us that if supply=demand then price is likely
to remains constant. A deficit of 35.2 million ounces is tiny, if one considers that even
the most conservative assessor values above ground stocks of silver with almost immediate
access at around 1 billion ounces, with a fair number quoting closer to 2 billion ounces.
So, a continuous 35 million oz deficit can be arguably catered for over the next 30 years
before supply becomes imperilled. Now we are not advocating that because of course any
continuous deficit will of course cause prices to gradually increase but with Industrial
usage now accounting for 60% of total supply and frankly little on the immediate horizon
for this to increase significantly further (unless of course you believe that the world
economies are going to grow well above its current 2% -3%) then the only factor likely
to affect supply in any great numbers is a rise in demand for investment purposes, and
we have seen these figures actually falling recently.
It’s worth bearing in mind that any major impact on Industrial demand is more likely
to be negative especially if the tariff situation gets out of hand – as global demand will
inevitably fall. Equally if world economies pick up, then although this may be advantageous
for silver producers it is likely to mean that demand for silver as a monetary metal
will fall further, thereby cancelling one another out, as funds will be even more avidly
directed towards the stockmarkets. 5. Internal US Politics.
On Tuesday, November 6th, 2018, midterm elections will take place. All 435 seats in the United
States House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
will be contested. Currently The House of Representatives stands
as follows: • 236 Republicans
• 193 Democrats • 6 vacancies due to resignations, planned
resignations and death. In the Senate there are:
• 51 Republicans • 47 Democrats
• 2 Independents. The Democrats have to defend 10 seats in States
that Donald Trump won — and on top of that, if they want to reclaim control of the Senate,
they have precious few opportunities to take seats from Republicans. But there is a path
for Democrats to win the Senate. It starts with winning eight or nine or all 10 of those
seats they’re defending — and then winning two or three or four of the Republican-held
seats in the following States: • Nevada
• Arizona • Tennessee
• Mississippi • Texas
• Nebraska So although at the moment, the Democrats feel
moderately confident that they may indeed win the House of Representatives, they are
far less certain about the Senate. We are of the opinion that if the Democrats win both
Houses and the Mueller report is negative towards the President, then impeachment proceedings
will most certainly begin. But even before the election takes place,
if the polls show that a ‘Blue Wave’ is likely to sweep over the elections, then we
can certainly predict that markets will become more turbulent (providing they haven’t moved
dramatically before then) and until the election is over we would expect to see monies leaving
the stock market and moving into gold and silver. However, the more dramatic moves,
we believe will occur post the election and perhaps early into the New Year.
On Monday, we shall highlight the highs and lows we expect the silver markets to reach
before 2018 is out and our reasons for it. So please look out for our next video.
We hope you have found this video interesting and informative and if so, please give it
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Disclaimer: Illuminati Silver owners come from a background
of Banking, International Wealth Management and Economics. Having now retired from these
worlds we are not qualified to give investment advice. Therefore, this and other productions
must not be deemed to be giving such advice and merely represent the personal views of
its owners.

89 thoughts on “What will happen to Silver Prices by the end of 2018? (Part 1)

  1. The fact that this is manipulated to death and its impossible to buy real silver gold and platinum at these prices you might as well be trading in belly button lint.
    The market makes no sense but your channel is usually right.
    I'm prepared to ignore my beliefs to accept the reality.

  2. informative and concise. thank you. however, market manipulation rules and any form of analysis is easily proven wrong because of it. Thanks again

  3. Wrong again, Illuminati douchebag. Any fool that takes your advice is asking to lose money. But….keep up the [bad] work from your apartment. We all need a good laugh from time to time. No one can time markets. You amateur!

  4. You guys have a misconception about Trump you may be reporting the news but the news is faults Trump is actually good for the people he's actually doing good things he's making the country stronger not weaker and not ready to go to war so all the stuff you're talking about is bullshit from the news like MSNBC CNN and things like that so you really need to probably not concentrate on the Trump stuff and just stick to other things in the medals

  5. Investment Guru Peter shift is actually a piece of shift that you probably should not take into consideration this guy is all about doomsday have you ever listened really carefully to Peter shift it makes you want to commit suicide

  6. Stop buying for awhile and it will drop to $14. Coins and Bars dropped 140 million ounces between 2015-17. And since stackers and preppers have been propping the price up since 2009. Once the Fear Porn guys like Morgan and Schiff have waned in popularity silver sank.

    Without coins and bars there would have 100 million ounce surpluses for several of the last 10 years. Just go look at Silver Institute's charts of supply and demand. Plain as day.

  7. Great video. Re Wikipedia interests rates article. Historically Fed raised rates to combat overheating and suppress inflation. This time around what is different is there is no official inflation in response to which Fed raises. It’s rather opposite. Hence this cycle is different perhaps.

  8. Trump is going out of his way to PREVENT WAR with all these countries you mentioned. No Normal Person WANTS WAR. There are many people and parties in the US and the world who would love to start a war with these countries. But Trump is not one of them. The media wants to LIE and try to convince people that Trump will be the cause of War but He is doing a great job trying to prevent war and gaining back some of the respect other countries had for the USA before 9/11 !!! The Powers really hate this guy but I fear they will get their War with Russia, China, N Korea and whoever else they want war with so they can institute the new laws that take away more freedom. Really sad how 99% of MEDIA pushes this WAR IDEAL. War is Evil

  9. How can you estimate the price of gold and silver when market manipulation is the real driver of price? However I do enjoy your presentations. Don't always like the answers you present but it's better to get the real story then the pumpers versions.

  10. As the dollar gets stronger silver will get cheaper. China is starting to fold their hand and Trump is winning. I think the FED is the only real concern in my eyes. Me being a silver stacker, the price dip is fine with me.

  11. Too much fake news about the democrats winning the house. Will not happen. Its a reverse psychology tactic used by republicans to get the base out. Also, historically, more democratic voters stay home during midterm elections.

  12. silver is so cheap now i use coins as target practice. i should sell my blown up coins for a better profit than the actual silver.

  13. There are so so many sites proclaiming that you should stack silver. On tv, all over you tube. The net effect is to drive more stacking. If a major magazine cover mentions silver favorably that is the equivalent of a million dollars worth of free advertising for a small business. Collectively I would estimate that the net free advertising to buy silver would cost advertisers somewhere between 500 million and two billion dollars. And my friends, that is the same collective amount you will have to pay to advertise to sell your silver.

  14. It is very easy for them to push the Silver price down , with the power they give themselves to dump unlimited amounts of naked shorts into the markets , you can manipulate everything (they did the same with Bitcoin , in total control now also ).
    It is criminal and easy to do .

  15. the end of paper rigging thru the comex and lbma is the only way silver and gold ever rise in a meaningful way.

  16. I think crypto currencies made a big impact on precious metals decline.  Now that manipulation seems to be a part of crypto space as well, people may be getting tired of contrary investments.

  17. Hang in there stackers – silver should hit 20 dollars by 2020 with a generous return of 12% per year. P.S. The narrator sounds like Israel Regardie- your secret is out.

  18. 0:00 – About the same as it's been for the past 4 or 5 years. Silver will crash when everything else does, although not as hard, and will bounce back and skyrocket during the rebuilding, just like it did in 2008.

  19. Hi IS, I'm still alive, but not for long. I'll continue to stack silver just for the generational wealth transfer when I'm gone. Silver will have its day in the sun, despite the numbers you quote. It still has all those amazing properties, and is the most undervalued asset on the planet, and necessary for all the futuristic technology planned by your ilk, not to mention war. Each missile contains about 15 pounds of silver, and the 60% industrial use will keep growing, unless they find something better. Is not that why it was demonetized in the first place?

  20. The Dollar has gained strength under Trump like him or not this is just one thing that caused precious metal prices to drop in Dollar value all good for stacking.

  21. i deal with silver and gold every day on the stock market…….you pumpers are full of shit…price isnt going anywhere….been doing this for 45 years

  22. The " trade war" is simply an agreed slow entry to the final collapse of the dollar as Reserve currency. Why do you think Trump will soon have 6 out of 7 of the Federal Reserve board members ? This is the agreed agenda that America, Russia and China have undertaken in readiness for the end of the Rothschild central banking control of the global economy and the eventual " global currency reset".

  23. As prices hang where they are production will continue to drop. The easy to extract (high concentration mines) silver and gold are being used up. The harder to get silver will cost more. If Mexico placed a tariff on silver (and/or gold) prices would spike.

  24. Good point on maniplulation. These jokers claiming that silver would be $30. $50. or $100 if it were not being manipulated are smoking some pretty strong stuff. I'll keep making monthly purchases and worry about the price after I retire. Probably well after.

  25. And while America’s trade deficit with Europe shrank in June, it grew with both Canada and China.

    Still, despite the data, Trump reiterated in a tweet Sunday that his tariffs are working “big time.”

  26. China is the largest economy in the world. And the trade deficit expanded with China. What China needed to do is dump us treasuries. This will weaken the dollar. And strengthen american exports. And weaken exports to the us. Gold and Silver would also rise against the dollar

  27. Metals prices have these options in the near future: they could rise, fall, or stay flat. I'm betting on the first three.

  28. Silver? If the Rothchilds start hoarding it and taking it out of circulation. Then buy as quick as you can. As they do the same with gold for a number year's. With the abilities to buy it off the market by the ton. Driving up price. Then later controlled selling for year's.

    When the gold makes it back into circulation. Being more plentiful again. The price will stabilize again at lower prices.

    Then the hoarding starts all over again…and repeat. There are many other lower factors to gold and silver prices also to consider.

    The Rothchilds banking cartel (world wide) effects prices the most.

  29. Price Manipulation….. I have not yet heard a good explanation, as to why the Gold to Silver Ratio is 1 to 60+
    since 2013.

    Silver OR Gold, might currently be valued correctly, but not both.

  30. Here we go again, another prediction, been hearing the same pitch in Doug Case on the Phil Donahue Show in 1980, this only sells books and subscriptions

  31. Cornering the silver market has been tried before. Since the collapse of film, the biggest consumers of silver, the demand has been down. This tastes of pump and dump.

  32. What happens to silver is that is going down. Silver sucks— buy stocks that pays dividends.
    Silver is down from 50 to 15

  33. Very reasonable and good. But that there is a huge paper market manipulation IS ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN. On a naive ignorant can not see it!

  34. LMAO they can't manipulated the price of silver and gold with paper contracts where they don't have to deliver physical metal? you have absolutely no creditability after that statement. the entire stock market is manipulated. Attempting to use fundamental charts in a manipulated market that is why I don't trust any so called experts.

  35. This broadcast, although well articulated, does not focus on the economic certainty of a run to financial security when the stock, bond, and real estate markets crash, along with the fiat currencies in which they are backed. The sole source of financial security can only come from genuine money, ie, gold and silver.

  36. We have produced many videos on this very subject – and will no doubt do so again. However we advocate that such a collapse is no-where near as imminent as many of the doomsayers are predicting. Go through YouTube and google and you will see the Schiff’s and Mahoney’s stating this imminent collapse was days away for over a decade – and whilst we agree that all currencies ultimately fail – they are very unlikely to all fail together – yes we support gold and silver acquisition but we are also realistic and frankly knowledgeable enough in banking and government to know that the contingency plans in place will prevent one big global collapse overnight. Now we can discuss a reset which is one of the contingency plans, but we are far away from that for now.

  37. you speak for the central banks that is obvious . let me speak for myself and say f#%*k off. i have my own opinions based on research and advice . the time of the central bank is coming to an end . you know it and the well informed people around the world know as well the debt that the u s and other countries have is unsustainable and all you guys do is print more currency driving the debt even higher .no i listened and laughed out loud at your propaganda .

  38. Even your name seems to reflect your comments. This reminds me of listening to ABC news which I haven't done for years. Thumbs down

  39. Trump has had no effect, the interest rates have had no effect, the political turmoil has had no effect, supply and demand has nothing to do with it because 99% of the trades are derivatives, and are NOT trading the actual metal, AND none of these has ANY EFFECT because THIS IS BECAUSE IT IS 100% SHORTED AND MANIPULATED BY JP MORGAN AND THIS HAS TOTALLY CONTROLLED THE PRICE OF SILVER, ABSOLUTELY EVERYONE KNOWS THAT FOR PETE'S F ING SAKE !!

  40. the only place the demoncrats will be going, is to gitmo! clinton, obama, comey, lynch, mueller, brennan, and with any luck, big tech leaders, all to gitmo, military trials! Face their judgement for their crimes of treason!

  41. Silver Thanksgiving week 2018 is 14.30 , a pathetic number in comparison to earlier " glory" years not so long ago. When silver flirted with 50 oz, l was sitting pretty.

  42. I'm kinda surprised that these guys understand so little about what's really going on in the US.
    With the elections and Trump especially.. It's now almost December and things have gone just as predicted by all of the alternative analysis that is so easy to find all over the internet.
    It's almost as if they're naive enough to watch and believe the mainstream news..

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